Missing the Point


Here's a headline which accompanied a news story in the Guardian/Observer at the weekend.

Labour lead hits seven points as Tories slip to 29% and Ukip holds steady

Now the interesting point of this opinion poll to me was not the percentage share of the vote for any of the political parties, as I don't actively support any of them.

No, the intriguing political issue is that on this kind of result Labour could 'win' the next general election on not much more than a third of the popular vote - because of the way Labour seats are distributed around the country.

And if that were to happen, as I've said before, I think the country would become virtually ungovernable because the outcome would be manifestly ridiculous and unfair - a product of the First Past the Post (FPTP) voting system which is now in use only for Westminster elections.  


First Past The Post (15 January 2013)


A spate of opinion polls have been published in recent weeks which suggest that the Labour party - out of all the major UK parties - enjoys the most public support.

Now this is hardly surprising given that we are now beyond the half-way point of a coalition government - assuming it lasts a whole five years - which has had to take some very unpopular decisions given the terrible mess of the UK economy.

Decisions that the Labour party would have had to make as well of course - if it were still in government - as the former Labour chancellor, Alistair Darling, admitted in advance of the 2010 general election.

'Spending cuts were inevitable, greater than those which took place under Mrs Thatcher's government' - or words to that effect was the message from Alistair Darling, as he told things straight to his party and the country.   

But the real significance of recent polls is not that they put Labour is in the lead at this point in time - at around 39% - but that the party comes nowhere near commanding the support of a majority of the electorate. 

And just as they did in 2010 the polls are likely to narrow as general election looms - just as the Conservative lead last time round got squeezed - leaving the party with less than 40% of the electorate's support and no option but to form a coalition government with the Lib Dems.

The point being that no single party will have a mandate to govern the country under the First Past The Post System - which is now only used for elections to the Westminster Parliament.

Elections to every other Parliament - the Scottish and European Parliaments - are conducted under some form of proportional representation - which is also the case for local councils in Scotland and elections to the Wales Assembly and Legislative Assembly in Northern Ireland.

So coalition politics and coalition governments are here to stay - a fact of political life.

The question is whether or not Labour has the brains to get rid of FPTP and bring in a voting system which prevents a minority government taking power - with less than 40% of the popular vote.

In the 1908s just about everyone - including the Labour party - who did not support the Tories and Margaret Thatcher declared the Conservative Government of the day to be an 'elected dictatorship' - because it had won the election on 40% of the popular vote.

Yet MrsThatcher bulldozed her government's policies through the House of Commons with a FPTP majority of MPs - uninterested in the views or complaints of the opposition parties and 60% of the electorate who did not support the Tory party.

Ever since that time the UN, the UK and every other progressive government around the world has encouraged emerging democratic countries to embrace PR (proportional representation) - as a way of bringing peace and stability to troubled lands.

From the former satellite states of the Soviet Union to the countries which emerged from the break up of the former Yugoslavia - from Northern Ireland to Iraq to the countries of the Arab Spring the solution urged on has been the same: representative government or power sharing.

Because under PR minority parties cannot behave like tyrannies - as they do in Syria at the moment, for example - because they have to come to an accommodation with other groups and parties - to get the wheels of government  turning effectively.

And by and large I think that's a good thing - which is why the UK should ditch FPTP for Westminster elections - because it's a fundamentally undemocratic way to govern the country.

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